Some more thought about the war:
- The white man’s burden . A depressing thought: the Iraq war proves that in the year 2003 AD, the world has not essentially changed since 2003 BC. A military power can attack a weak nation, conquer its territory and plunder its resources. There is no world law, no world moral order. Might is right.
The weapons are of the 21 st century, but they serve 19 th century aims. This is a classicalcolonial war. Iraq is becoming an American colony, to remain so for a long time.
The pretexts come from the old colonialist phrase-book. A country is conquered in order to”liberate” the natives from their cruel tyrants. Their resources are stolen, in order toraise their standard of living, give an (elementary) education to their children, keep acolonial administration that will teach them democracy.
This is also a divine mission. The missionaries always come with the army, and sometimes evenprecede it. The cross and the canon, religion and oppression, the church and the plunder ofresources go very well together.
For the poet laureate of the era, Rudyard Kipling, that was the “white man’s burden”. But whencolonialism retreated, it left behind a social, cultural and economic desert, whichpersists in the “third world” to this day.
- To shoot a lame duck . The triumphalism of America, Britain and Israel is a little misplaced.
The only super-power in the world has attacked a little country of 26 million people, starvedfor years by sanctions. A mighty and well-fed army, equipped with the most sophisticated armsthe world has ever seen, confronted an army that has been largely disarmed before the fightingeven started. The powerful air force that controls the skies without opposition was sentagainst a country whose air defenses have been bombed for years beforehand.
In a modern war, control of the air is the decisive factor. Sixty years ago, when the air forceand its weapons were much more primitive, Field Marshal Rommel told Hitler that the Allies’domination of the skies made it impossible for the German army to maneuver and bring inreinforcements. Therefore, he said, his army would be unable to defeat the Anglo-Americanforces once they succeeded in securing a bridgehead on the French coast. If we don’t destroythem in the first few hours, he told Hitler, the battle is lost. The Fuehrer did not listen to hisadvice, and the results are well known.
If this was true then for the mighty Wehrmacht, it was true now a thousand times for the batteredIraqi forces. From the first minute on, no Iraqi tank could appear in the open without beingdestroyed from the air. No division and no company could occupy a position, let alone move,without the missiles and bombs pounding it to dust. Decent hunters do not shoot at sittingducks. But that is exactly what happened in Iraq.
Not long ago I said, quoting the Bible, that the Americans should not boast before the war isfinished. This is true after the war, too. There is nothing to boast about. Tommy Franks willnot go down in history as one of the great leaders of armies, next to Alexander and Napoleon. Ifthe Iraqis held on for 21 days, that itself was an achievement.
- A stupid brute . Saddam Hussein can take no credit for that achievement. As it turns out, he was not only a brutal and cruel dictator, but a stupid one to boot.
Clearly, he had never read a serious book about strategy, and did not receive good advice fromhis generals. That is one of the troubles of dictators, dating back to Biblical times, whenAbsalom, King David’s rebellious son, rejected the good advice of Ahithophel: generally thedictator does not listen to advice, and the advisors tend to tell the dictator only what hewants to hear.
From the Iraqi point of view, it would have been right to avoid battle in the open desert, where amodern army has an immense advantage, and to draw the invaders into the cities. But for thatpurpose, Saddam had to dispose his army inside the cities and prepare for a Stalingrad-likedefense. Instead, he exposed his elite Republican Guard outside Baghdad, in the open, wherethey were systematically destroyed by the US airforce. Inside the city itself nothing wasprepared, no plan, no command structure, no adequate arms. It fell like a rotten apple.Neither the American generals nor the commentators expected this. Neither did I.
Saddam had his chance to go down in history as the leader of a glorious, if hopeless, last stand.But now his appropriate memorial is the decapitated bronze statue that starred ontelevision.
- The dis-information force . This war was waged simultaneously in two arenas: in the field and on television. There was hardly any resemblance between the two.
Television was an accompaniment to previous wars. But in this war, television has become anintegral part of the war itself, one of its major battlefields, if not the most important one.
From now on, TV is a component of the armed forces, along with the army, the navy and theairforce. Like them it is directed by the command structure.
Much thought and effort was devoted to this arm. General Myers, the No.1 soldier inWashington, and General Franks, the commander of the actual campaign, personally took partin the action. (It was a stroke of genius to put a black general into the center of the picture.)
The aim is to engender in the mind of the home audience, world public opinion and perhaps even inthe mind of the enemy a picture of the war that has no connection with reality. That is easy,because there is no more mendacious instrument than television. He who controls it, controlsthe picture of reality, and thereby the mind of the viewer.
For example: in order to support the claim that the aim of the war was to “liberate” the Iraqipeople, it was essential to show the Iraqi population welcoming the liberators with joy.Television delivered the goods.
Nothing easier: simply fill the frame with a hundred jumping and shouting people, in order tocreate the impression the a whole country is jumping and shouting. Nobody will ask: Who thehell are they? Where did they come from? Who called them together? Did they get anything inreturn? Aren’t they, by chance, the same people who jumped and shouted a few days ago “with oursoul and blood we will redeem you, Saddam?” And where are the other 5 million inhabitants ofBaghdad? What do they think and feel?
During five very long hours all Western TV stations (and Al Jazeera as well) concentrated onshowing a crowd of Iraqis trying to bring down a giant statue of Saddam in the center of Baghdad.A discerning eye could notice that the crowd was no more than a hundred people, certainly halfof them journalists. The statue-smashers acted manifestly for the camera. Buttelevision-wise, that was “the Iraqi people”. This picture will remain fixed in the mind ofthe world as the defining image of the “liberation”.
Only Thomas Friedman, a very arrogant and very patriotic observer, independentlyinterviewed Iraqis and reported that they indeed were glad to be rid of Saddam, but that theyviewed the Americans as foreign invaders who should leave at once. Nothing of this kind wasseen on CNN.
In the Iraqi campaign, every Western (and, of course, Israeli) journalist was a soldier with ajob to do under the command structure. The point was reached that Donald Rumsfeld, in aWashington briefing, directly ordered the American journalists in Iraq to interview Iraqisand get stories from them about Saddam’s atrocities. Sure enough, within hours such storiescame pouring in.
Joseph Goebbels would be bursting with envy. George Orwell would not be surprised.
- Gunboat Democracy. How will things develop from here on? It has been said that it is hard to prophesy, especially about the future.
One thing is certain: the Americans did not conquer Iraq in order to leave. They intend toremain there for a long time, even if they succeed in setting up a puppet government. They cameto conthe oil sources and the Arab region, and for these purposes they will stay on.
But even if they should wish to leave, they would not be able to do so. Without an Americandictatorship taking the place of Saddam’s, Iraq would fall apart. The old ethnic, religious,regional and tribal divisions would only deepen if an American-appointed puppet governmentwere to establish “democracy”.
Western democracy developed over centuries in organized communities with solid communityvalues. Only a fool would think that it could be imposed from above, by force, on a societyorganized on quite different lines, by family and clan, and with quite different values. Areal Arab democracy, when it comes about, will surely different in nature and appearance fromthe Western kind.
The mob-rule that found its expression in the orgy of violence and looting under the auspicesof the US army, including the looting of hospitals, is a bad omen indeed. (It is the height ofchutzpah, when the US commanders, who have destroyed the civilian infra-structure, say thatlaw and orders must be restored by the Iraqis themselves. Thus, millions are abandoned toanarchy.)
The animosity between the Kurds and the Turks in the north, as well as the connection betweenthe Shiites and nearby Shiite Iran in the south, will cause the occupiers many headaches.After some months of quiet (if at all), they may be faced with a Hizbullah-style guerilla war.
Will that prevent an American invasion of Syria and/or Iran? Perhaps it will, perhaps, on thecontrary, it will push the Americans towards new adventures, in order to distract attentionfrom the results of the this one.
- And Ahmad, what does he think? In order to foresee what’s coming, I ask myself: what would I have thought and felt, if I had been an Arab? If I were, for example, Ahmad, a young Arab student at Cairo University, what would I feel at this moment?
First of all, humiliation. Once more a magnificent Arab hero has turned out to be a toy soldier,talking big and failing the first test. Once more an Arab army has mostly given up without afight. (By comparison, a growing admiration for the Palestinians, who have been standing upto the mighty Israeli military machine for more than two years, who have sacrificed more than2000 people and whose youth stand in line to sacrifice their lives.)
On top of the humiliation on the field of battle, the humiliation in the political field. Aforeign invader has marched into the center of the Arab world and taken control of itsresources, and the great Arab nation is paralysed, unable to react. Its cowardly leaders holdon to their seats and accept handouts from the occupier. Who will save us?
There is no nationalist Arab force able to offer a solution to the millions of young people fromCasablanca to Kuwait city. No new Nasser enflames their imagination. But there is a religiousMuslim force that provides comfort, answers, identity and self-respect. It also provides aweapon for removing the invaders and compelling the West to listen to Arab aspirations:terrorism.
Saddam never used terrorism. Nothing outside Iraq interested him, except if there was a toenlarge its territory . He was completely occupied with survival. The American pretense ofhaving attacked Iraq in order to rout terrorism was a blatant and deliberate lie. And now,Ahmad thinks, after the last of the Arab armies has shown its impotence in the face of Americanmight, there remains only the alternative of guerilla war and terror attacks.